Bournemouth vs Brighton betting, 22 DEC 18
With 6 defeats in 7 games Bournemouth are slowly heading towards the lower half of the table in English Premier League but does recent form and current league position lie sometimes? Probably yes, but Eddie Howe definitely has a job to do in order to revert his team’s fortunes and end this run of terrible results. On the other hand, Brighton will hope to take advantage of hosts’ poor form and prevent his side of losing third game in a row, after defeats to Burnley and Chelsea.
After a decent start to the season, Cherries had a really tough schedule during November and December, which started with the defeat against Manchester United. The game against United was the first in the period where Bournemouth played decent football but failed to take anything from a few games where they deserved much more than they took. The only team that completely outplayed and defeated them in all segments of the game was Liverpool, while the two Manchester teams and Arsenal had to work their socks off in order to earn 3 points against Howe’s side. In the meantime, Bournemouth lost to Newcastle and Wolves and managed to beat fellow strugglers Huddersfield.
The major problem for Eddie Howe was definitely defense - they conceded 16 goals in those 7 games, and failed to keep a clean sheet in the process. On the other hand, their decent attacking play also failed in last two games, and they failed to score in defeats both to Liverpool and Wolves.
Brighton and Hove Albion are doing much better than Bournemouth lately, but manager Chris Hughton has problems of his own. His side lost the last two games, and are traditionally poor travelers. They lost 6 out of 9 league games they played this season, and with average 0.78 goals per game away from home, are one of the sides that will probably rely on their decent home record till the end of the season.
Hughton’s side is also struggling defensively this season. Despite some heroic performances from their keeper Matthew Ryan, the Seagulls managed to keep only 3 clean sheets this season.
When we talk about stats, this match is interesting by two facts - Bournemouth were awarded 6 penalties this season, while Brighton conceded five, and both are “leaders” in those two segments of the game. Will this be something that can maybe decide this game? We’ll see.
Bournemouth vs Brighton head to head
AFC Bournemouth are unbeaten in last 9 games against Brighton in all competitions. The Cherries were also dominant at home, with 5 wins and only 1 defeat in last 8 league games at Vitality Stadium.
Bournemouth vs Brighton team news
Eddie Howe could be without skipper Simon Francis who is struggling with a hip injury, but the good news is the return of key forward Callum Wilson. Lewis Cook, Adam Smith, and Dan Gosling are definitely out for this game through injuries.
Chris Hughton is definitely without suspended Shane Duffy, while Jose Izquierdo and Alireza Jahanbakhsh are out injured.
Their talisman striker Glenn Murray returned to starting 11 in defeat to Chelsea and should retain his place in attack.
Bournemouth vs Brighton predictions
Backing a side that lost 6 out of last 7 league games don’t usually look like a good idea, but Bournemouth simply have enough quality to end their terrible run of results in the last several weeks. Betfred offers 10/11 (1.91) for a home win, and while that’s surely not fantastic price, it is good enough to back them. Bournemouth are simply a good side on a bad run, and that will have to end sooner rather than later. If they fail to beat one of the worst travelers in the league, they can find themselves in huge troubles soon and may get easily involved in the relegation fight. Brighton are also a decent side, but they are a simply different team when playing away from home.
With already mentioned penalties stats, It maybe could be an interesting bet to back Callum Wilson or Joshua King to score anytime, as those two are likely penalty takers if Bournemouth gets one. Wilson is price 5/4 to score anytime, while the price on King is 13/8.
“Obvious” betting tips in a game like this would be Over 2.5 at 10/11 and Both teams to score at 4/5, with some sloppy defending on both sides recently.
Odds mentioned above are currently available at Betfred. You can take advantage from Betfred welcome offer if you are interested in placing bets on this match, with their bet 10 get 30 in free bets offer, which also includes casino bonus of 30 free spins.
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